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☆ Republicans are divided on whether Kari Lake's Arizona Senate candidacy should be a top investment for the GOP
  + stars: | 2024-05-12 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewWhen Kari Lake jumped into the Arizona GOP Senate primary last October, many conservatives were thrilled with the decision, confident she'd energize base voters in the general election. It's still early in the campaign, but the numbers are a sign that she has so far not consolidated GOP support around her candidacy. "Ultimately, the Republican Senate committee is probably going to realize before too long that there's far better opportunities for victories in other parts of the country," he added. But in addition to Arizona, they're angling to flip seats in Montana, Ohio, Maryland, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Persons: —, Kari Lake, Katie Hobbs, Donald Trump's, Lake, Ruben Gallego, It's, Sen, John Barrasso of, Matt Salmon, Todd Young, Democratic Sen, Joe Manchin, Young, he'd Organizations: Service, Arizona GOP, Republicans, Business, Emerson College Polling, Democratic, GOP, Senate Republican Conference, Politico, Washington Republicans, National Republican Senatorial, Arizona Rep, Lake, Republican, Todd Young of Locations: Arizona, John Barrasso of Wyoming, Todd Young of Indiana, West Virginia, Montana , Ohio, Maryland , Michigan, Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
☆ Republicans could cost Kari Lake the Arizona Senate race as a new poll shows 15% of GOP voters backing her likely Democratic opponent
  + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
Kari Lake is hoping to flip the Arizona US Senate seat being vacated by Kyrsten Sinema. But a new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey shows that she's not consolidating the GOP base. The poll shows her likely Democratic opponent, Ruben Gallego, winning 15% of GOP voters. AdvertisementIn the fight to win Arizona's Senate seat this fall, Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego and GOP candidate Kari Lake are locked in a close race in what has become one of the nation's premier swing states. AdvertisementBut the latest survey showed the challenges that she still faces as she works to flip the key Senate seat for the GOP.
Persons: Kari Lake, Kyrsten Sinema, Ruben Gallego, —, Gallego, Sen, Kyrsten, she's, Sinema —, Democrat —, Martha McSally, Trump's Organizations: Arizona, Emerson College Polling, GOP, Democratic, Service, Senate, Democratic Rep, Trump, Democrat, Republican Locations: Phoenix, Lake, Arizona, Gallego, Arizona's
☆ Chicago to elect new mayor as crime emerges as key issue
  + stars: | 2023-04-04 | by ( Brendan O'Brien | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
CHICAGO, April 4 (Reuters) - Crime is the central issue in Tuesday's mayoral runoff in Chicago, where voters are choosing between two candidates with contrasting approaches to public safety. Former Chicago Public Schools CEO Paul Vallas calls for more cops; Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson calls for more mental health support and opportunities for young people. Johnson, a former Chicago teacher and union organizer, says he will promote 200 new detectives from the existing pool of police officers. A poll last week by Emerson College Polling, WGN-TV and The Hill showed Vallas leading Johnson by 5 points, with 13% undecided. Reporting by Brendan O'Brien in Chicago; Editing by Donna Bryson and Matthew LewisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
☆ 'Trump fatigue' in New Hampshire complicates 2024 White House bid
  + stars: | 2023-01-27 | by ( Tim Reid | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +9 min
"Donald Trump right now is a distraction for the Republican Party in trying to go forward. Yet the willingness of Republican party members to criticize Trump in conversations with Reuters is striking. She worked on his New Hampshire primary campaign, knocked on doors for him, urged anybody she met to vote for him. Despite signs of weariness with Trump, he will still be a formidable candidate in the New Hampshire primary, some party strategists said. His influence is still fairly significant," said Jim Merrill, a veteran New Hampshire Republican strategist.
☆ Raphael Warnock has a 4-point lead over Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff: poll
  + stars: | 2022-12-03 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Warnock has a 50%-46% lead over Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff, per a new SurveyUSA poll. Independents, a critical slice of the Georgia electorate, backed Warnock over Walker by 13 points. In the poll, Warnock enjoyed near-unanimous support (95%) among Democrats, while Walker earned the backing of 87% of Republicans; 11% of GOP respondents crossed party lines to support Warnock over Walker in the survey. Because no candidate received 50% of the vote at the time, a runoff election was triggered. A recent Emerson College Polling survey showed Warnock leading Walker 49%-47% among likely voters, while a new CNN poll had Warnock ahead of Walker 52%-48%, also among likely voters.
☆ Trump would beat DeSantis in 2024, as Biden approval rate remains underwater, new poll finds
  + stars: | 2022-11-22 | by ( Ashley Capoot | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Ron DeSantis by a wide margin in a hypothetical 2024 Republican presidential primary, according to a new poll. Trump received 55% of Republican registered voters' support, while DeSantis, his potential rival for the White House nomination, received just 25%, the Emerson College poll found. And in a potential rematch of the 2020 election in 2024, Biden would defeat Trump by a margin of 45% to 41%, the survey found. Voters with a high school degree or less support Trump by 71%. Republican voters with a postgraduate degree support Trump the least, at 32%.
☆ Here are the states voting on marijuana legalization on Election Day
  + stars: | 2022-11-07 | by ( Stefan Sykes | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
A recreational marijuana smoker indulges in smoking weed on April 14, 2020 in the Bushwick section of the Brooklyn borough of New York City. Arkansas, Maryland, Missouri, North Dakota and South Dakota could join 19 other states and the District of Columbia, which have already legalized recreational marijuana. A 6% sales tax on recreational marijuana would go toward facilitating automatic expungements for people with certain non-violent marijuana offenses on their records, veterans' health care, substance misuse treatment and the state's public defender system. North DakotaMarijuana legalization failed to pass in North Dakota when it appeared on ballots in 2018, losing by a margin of 41% to 59%. This election, New Approach North Dakota got a revised proposal back on the ballot.
☆ Nevada Question 3: Voters will decide on ranked choice general elections and top-five primaries
  + stars: | 2022-11-03 | by ( Taiyler Simone Mitchell | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Nevada's Question 3 would put ranked-choice voting and top-five primaries. The second part of the initiative would establish ranked-choice voting general election. Support and oppositionYes on 3 is sponsored by Nevada Voters First. Organizations in support of the measure include the Institute for Political Innovation and Vote Nevada, according to Ballotpedia. Protect Your Vote Nevada said that Question 3 would "make our elections unnecessarily confusing, complicated, and riddled with errors-- and enshrine that system in the Nevada Constitution."
☆ Opinion | Frustrated With Polling? Pollsters Are, Too
  + stars: | 2022-10-24 | by ( Quoctrung Bui | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +18 min
But what’s really troubling pollsters going into this election is that it’s unclear how much more error these problems will add during this cycle. Just because you put the right ingredients in a bowl, doesn’t mean you’re going to end up with a cake. I think a lot of that has been swept under the rug because the move to online polling seems so inexorable. Pollsters don’t know what people are seeing, hearing and reading. I know at FiveThirtyEight you can search by A-rated or B-rated, but I don’t know how they’re coming up with these ratings.
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